Ecosystem dynamics and resilience

In this article we specify an M-member "individual-based" continuous time swarm model with individuals that move in an n-dimensional space according to an attractant/repellent or a nutrient profile. The motion of each individual is determined by three factors: i) attraction to the other individuals on long distances;…

• VEYSEL GAZİ

Abstract System dynamics models, as causal models, are much like scientific theories. Hence, in evaluating such models, we assume certain norms of scientific inquiry. Most critics hold that the system dynamics approach does not employ formal, objective, quantitative model validation tests. This article argues that thi…

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused more than 1,000,000 reported deaths globally, of which more than 200,000 have been reported in the United States as of October 1, 2020. Public health interventions have had significant impacts in reducing transmission and in averting even more deaths. Nonetheless, in many jurisdictions…

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• MEHMET ÖZGER

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• YADİGAR ŞEKERCİ FIRAT

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• ÖMER YETEMEN

Abstract. Recurrence-plot-based recurrence networks are an approach used to analyze time series using a complex networks theory. In both approaches – recurrence plots and recurrence networks –, a threshold to identify recurrent states is required. The selection of the threshold is important in order to avoid bias of t…

• DENİZ EROĞLU

Abstract Climate extremes pose a global threat to crop security. Conservation agriculture is expected to offer substantial climate adaptation benefits. However, synergistic effects of conservation practices on yield during normal versus extreme climates and underlying regulatory mechanisms remain elusive. Here, we ana…

The Shannon entropy of a time series is a standard measure to assess the complexity of a dynamical process and can be used to quantify transitions between different dynamical regimes. An alternative way of quantifying complexity is based on state recurrences, such as those available in recurrence quantification analys…

• DENİZ EROĞLU

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• YADİGAR ŞEKERCİ FIRAT

By the late 20th century, a series of events or 'natural experiments', for example the depletion of apex predators, extreme eutrophication and blooms of invasive species, had suggested that the Black Sea could be considered as a large ecosystem 'laboratory'. The events resulted in regime shifts cascading through all t…

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• YEŞİM BÜYÜKATEŞ